Football match predictions

A football match prediction we stand behind.

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You get one concrete prediction for one fixture: the bet and the price, between 1.25 and 1.90. That is exactly the band where our own settled results made money long term. The full analysis comes attached as proof.

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Martin Dvořák, hlavní analytik TipMistr

“I bet on data, not on gut feeling.”

Martin Dvořák · Lead Analyst

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  • A post-match report with the result, how it unfolded and an honest review, losses included.

PREMIUM20:02:24

Football match prediction#1

Brazil Série B

Botafogo-SP - Ponte Preta

29/09, 22:30

Odds

1.62

Our pick

●●●● ●●●

Our pick, our stake and the full analysis unlock the moment you buy. The fixture, odds and kickoff are shown up front.

Ponte Preta have conceded 62 goals in 29 Série B matches; Botafogo-SP leak 1.24 per home game.

Tip strength

75%

Illustrative example based on our own stake and the odds at publication. Not a guarantee of profit. Odds are based on bookmakers' offers on the day the tip is published and may change over time. We do not guarantee the odds will be identical at the moment of purchase. Odds are captured in real time when the tip is published.

The tip with the full analysis lands in your inbox within 2 minutes of payment.

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Competitions we cover

Latest winning tip

This is what a tip we stood behind looks like

28/09 · La Liga 2 - Spain

Leganés - CD Castellón (Leganés 0-2 CD Castellón)

Over 1.5 goals

Odds

1.27

Our stake

£965.52

Paid out

£1,226.21

Unlock today's tip

Illustrative calculation based on our own stake and the odds at the time the tip was published. Past results do not guarantee future profits.

Most bettors bet: “On gut feeling and hope.”

We bet: “With confidence from our own analysis.”

Every tip stands on a complete analysis: form, xG, absences, head-to-head. We win because we know why.

We know how to say NO. Every day we skip dozens of matches we are not confident enough about.

We've already done hours of research. Open. Read. Decide.

Our biggest wins

This is what clients took home for being inside in time

Our highest settled prices, straight from the public record. You see the match, the result and what the slip returned. Everyone with access was on it with us.

#126/09/26

League 2 · MLS

Combo: York City - Gillingham + CF Montreal - FC Cincinnati + Austin FC - San Diego FC + LA Galaxy - Colorado Rapids

York City 3-0 Gillingham | CF Montreal 3-1 FC Cincinnati | Austin FC 3-3 San Diego FC | LA Galaxy 3-2 Colorado Rapids

4-leg combo

Combo ticket

Odds

6.21

Stake

£620.69

Returned

£3,854.48

#222/09/26

FA Cup

Combo: Worksop Town FC - AFC Telford United + Gainsborough Trinity FC - Leamington FC + Truro City FC - Merthyr Town FC

Worksop Town FC 2-1 AFC Telford United | Gainsborough Trinity FC 3-0 Leamington FC | Truro City FC 2-2 Merthyr Town FC

3-leg combo

Combo ticket

Odds

3.35

Stake

£827.59

Returned

£2,772.43

#324/09/26

UEFA Nations League

Combo: Andorra - Malta + Liechtenstein - Lithuania

Andorra 1-2 Malta | Liechtenstein 0-2 Lithuania

2-leg combo

Combo ticket

Odds

2.52

Stake

£1,206.9

Returned

£3,041.39

I want the next one

Real settled analyses from our public history. The stake shown is our recommended minimum; past results never guarantee future ones.

Verifiable track record

Every tip publicly recorded, including the losses. No deleted history. Disciplined execution, not magic picks.

0%

Win rate

0

Settled tips

0

Wins on record

Leganés - CD Castellón

28/09/2026

WIN
Over 1.5 goals@ 1.27
Our stake: £1,256.9+£339.36

León - FC Juárez

28/09/2026

WIN
Over 2.5 goals@ 1.67
Our stake: £2,136.72+£1,431.6

Columbus Crew SC - Inter Miami CF

27/09/2026

WIN
Over 2.5 goals@ 1.40
Our stake: £1,256.9+£502.76

Fortaleza - Athletic Club (MG)

27/09/2026

WIN
Over 1.5 goals@ 1.36
Our stake: £1,256.9+£452.48

Clube de Regatas Brasil - Cuiabá

27/09/2026

WIN
Over 1.5 goals@ 1.36
Our stake: £1,256.9+£452.48

Oviedo - Sporting Gijón

27/09/2026

WIN
Over 1.5 goals@ 1.47
Our stake: £1,256.9+£590.74

Pumas - Atlético San Luis

27/09/2026

WIN
Over 2.5 goals@ 1.70
Our stake: £2,136.72+£1,495.7

Criciuma - Avai

27/09/2026

WIN
Over 1.5 goals@ 1.45
Our stake: £1,256.9+£565.61

Real Valladolid CF - Córdoba

27/09/2026

WIN
Over 1.5 goals@ 1.26
Our stake: £2,136.72+£555.55

LA Galaxy - Colorado Rapids

27/09/2026

WIN
Over 2.5 goals@ 1.63
Our stake: £1,256.9+£791.85
Show:

10 / 59

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Meet our team of analysts

They stake their own money on the same tips you get. Combined experience of over 25 years.

Martin Dvořák

Martin Dvořák

Senior betting strategist

Has tracked line movement and sharp money for 12 years. Consultant to a group of private bettors with a seven-figure annual turnover.

12 years of experience

Sharp money tracking • Line movement • Bankroll management • Asian handicap

//

The rest of the team

Tomáš Novák · data analyst

Builds and tunes our probability models, checks data quality and makes sure no tip leaves the desk without numbers behind it.

Jakub Marek · match analyst

Goes through line-ups, absences and tactical context. His job is to find why our pick could fail before we send it to clients.

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What do the tip tiers mean?

A prediction's tier is set by its price. Our band is 1.25 to 1.90: exactly where our own settled results made money long term. We do not sell longer prices, because they measurably wrecked our win rate.

BASIC

1.25 - 1.49

Odds band

£4.99

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The entry band, carrying the highest probability we can find. The smallest return from a single prediction, and the steadiest balance.

For conservative bettors

PREMIUM

1.50 - 1.69

Odds band

£8.99

Prediction price

The most balanced band. This is exactly where our own settled predictions delivered the best mix of win rate and return.

For a balanced profile

ELITE

1.70 - 1.90

Odds band

£12.99

Prediction price

The highest price a prediction is allowed to carry here, combined predictions included. We do not go a step beyond 1.90.

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01 - 03

How it works

01

We break the match down in detail

xG models, form, H2H, line-ups and sharp money. A tip is published only once the analysis gives us the confidence that the bet lands.

02

We say NO too

Every day we skip dozens of matches we are not sure about. We only publish tips we stand behind after the analysis.

03

You just open and decide

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Our methodology

Gambling is entertainment. Analysis is confidence. We use the same tools as professional betting analysts.

Expected Goals (xG)

Analysis of the statistical value of chances from FBref and Opta data.

Poisson distribution

A mathematical model predicting exact scores from 10,000+ historical data points.

Kelly Criterion

Optimal stake size calculated from the mathematical edge and bankroll principles.

Closing Line Value

We measure tip quality against the closing line, the gold standard of pro analysts.

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We track sharp money movement and reverse line movement in real time.

Confidence threshold

We only tip when our models and analysis give us enough confidence that the bet lands. Everything else we skip.

What you actually get

Paid access that works on your decisions

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Frequently asked questions

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